Just a week after the election, the cracks were starting to show between Trump and Republicans on some pretty major issues. Now that the election is over and it’s time for Republicans to govern, they appear to be growing wider.
Deportation forces? Despite President-elect Donald Trump’s use of the phrase, House Speaker Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) promised in a CNN town hall Thursday night: “In Congress, it’s not happening.”
Medicare reform? Despite Trump’s desire to leave it alone, Ryan says Medicare is in such a dire state “we better get prepared to fix this problem.”
Deporting all 11 million immigrants in the country illegally? Trump is fuzzy on whether he stands on one of his signature his campaign promises, but Ryan indicated Thursday he’s inclined to help keep children of undocumented parents in the country. “No,” he said when asked by an undocumented woman whether he thinks she should be deported.
Oh, and Russia. Pretty much everyone in Washington except Trump wants to slap sanctions on Russia, Ryan included. (“I think Russia is a global menace led by a man who is menacing,” he said Thursday.)
No president and his party are on the same page on everything (see President Obama vs. congressional Democrats on trade). And Ryan and Trump have both expressed support for replacing Obamacare as soon as possible after they repeal it. (Though the devil is in the details; Ryan said Thursday it could be done within the next three months; Trump theorized a replacement plan will “most likely be on the same day or the same week, but probably, the same day, could be the same hour.”)
When it comes to critical decisions, such as how tough to get on Russia, or whether to get super tough on immigration, or how much federal money to spend on things like infrastructure reform, or whether to slap tariffs on imported goods, Trump increasingly looks like he’s on an island within his own party.
Even his own Cabinet nominees repeatedly broke with his campaign promises on everything from prosecuting Hillary Clinton to playing nice with Russia in their confirmation hearings this week.
What’s going on now between Trump and Republican leaders has some echoes of the dynamic during the presidential campaign: Ryan and other GOP leaders would highlight their agreements with Trump (repeal Obamacare, get a conservative on the Supreme Court) but there were also very conspicuous disagreements (a Muslim ban, NATO, that darn Russia thing again).
At one point during the campaign, Ryan denounced or disagreed with something Trump said roughly once a week.
By the end of the campaign, Ryan had broken up with Trump completely.
And lest you think it’s just Ryan splitting with Trump, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) has vocalized his disagreements with Trump, too. He’s supported Sen. John McCain’s (R-Ariz.) investigations into Russia’s meddling in the U.S. election, and he’s put a hard foot down on Trump’s term limit proposal. (“I say we have term limits now. They’re called elections.”)
Ryan appears to still be very excited that he has a Republican president — it’s been top of his wish list since he suddenly became speaker in the fall of 2015. And he’s not trying to hide the fact there are some rifts between him and the president he got. “Look, we don’t all agree on everything. I think people kind of know that,” Ryan acknowledged Thursday.
He also appeared willing to meet Trump in the middle on some things, like whether to set aside tax credits for child care, a top Trump priority.
But the fact remains that Ryan and McConnell are now charged with legislating the agenda of a president whose views on some major issues they do not share.
Right now the disagreements are manifesting themselves as cracks in Republicans’ stranglehold on Washington. But keep an eye on how much those cracks widen. It could mean the difference between whether Trump’s grab-bag conservative populism rehsapes the Republican Party — or gets buried by more traditional Republicans who don’t agree.